Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Bryan Rincon

PHI · AA · SS · Age 23

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score72.7#132 Overall
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor65Lower-end outcome
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Power.250 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact20.8% KNear expected range
Approach17.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power45
Run50
Field60
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.0
Projected Range31–65
Arrival Probability83%
Productive Role Probability16%
Player Background
OrganizationPhiladelphia Phillies
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 70 Latest recorded 69
74 68.5 63 2026-09-02 · Median 70 2026-09-03 · Median 69 2026-09-05 · Median 69 2026-09-06 · Median 69 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 68.7 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 69 2026-09-21 · Median 69 2026-09-22 · Median 69 2026-09-24 · Median 69 2026-09-25 · Median 69 2026-09-29 · Median 69 2026-09-30 · Median 69 2026-10-03 · Median 69 2026-10-04 · Median 69 2026-10-05 · Median 69 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0569
2026-10-0469
2026-10-0369
2026-09-3069
2026-09-2969
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2026-09-1969
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
2026-09-1669
2026-09-1569
2026-09-1468.7
2026-09-0967
2026-09-0669
2026-09-0569
2026-09-0369
2026-09-0270