Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Chase Harlan

LAD · High-A · 3B · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score72.1#148 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor63Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Offensive impact.912 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact20.7% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.403 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit40
Power55
Run45
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.4
Projected Range31–62
Arrival Probability56%
Productive Role Probability17%
Player Background
OrganizationLos Angeles Dodgers
LevelHigh-A
Position3B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 67
71 63 55 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.3 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 66 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 66 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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