Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jackson Flora

SF · AA · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#585
Prospect Score61.6
Median68
Performance Signal+4.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
576879
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 68
72 58 44 2026-08-20 · Median 49 2026-08-22 · Median 49 2026-08-23 · Median 48.8 2026-08-25 · Median 48.4 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 64.2 2026-09-15 · Median 68 2026-09-16 · Median 68 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-09-29 · Median 68 2026-09-30 · Median 68 2026-10-03 · Median 68 2026-08-20 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0368
2026-09-3068
2026-09-2968
2026-09-2568
2026-09-2468
2026-09-2268
2026-09-2168
2026-09-1968
2026-09-1868
2026-09-1768
2026-09-1668
2026-09-1568
2026-09-1464.2
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.4
2026-08-2348.8
2026-08-2249
2026-08-2049

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 67
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
576879
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.5

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 67
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence38
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.