Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesús Broca

MIL · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,677
Score50.1
Baseline49
Signal-19.4
Trend-0.2
Floor41
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence63 Risk20 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jesús Broca

MIL · AA · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,677
Prospect Score50.1
Median49
Performance Signal-19.4
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
414956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 49
53 47.5 42 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.6 2026-08-25 · Median 46.6 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.6
2026-08-2346.6
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
414956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range15–64
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.