Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Francisco Rivero

WSH · FCL · C

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#3,535Overall ranking
Baseline44Uncertain outcome
Trend+6.5Rising
Confidence30Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline44Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is rising.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 44, between a 27 Floor and 56 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (69) and limited model Confidence (30).

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping40Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited69Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelFCL
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 44 Change 0.0
48 44 40 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-10-04 · Median 44 2026-10-05 · Median 44 2026-10-07 · Median 44 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0744
2026-10-0544
2026-10-0444
2026-10-0344
2026-09-3044
2026-09-2944
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2144
2026-09-1944
2026-09-1844
2026-09-1744
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544