Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jaxon Wiggins

CHC · AAA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 25 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command not yet translating

The verified command expectation is running ahead of current strike-throwing results. Walk rate is the clearest constraint

High Confidence · 97%
PB Rank#775
Prospect Score59
Median59
Performance40
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 6th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 7.2

What could change the read

  • A 10.5 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-27.5 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 39
Command-35.6 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 6

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 59
71 62.5 54 2026-06-08 · Median 67 2026-06-09 · Median 67 2026-06-10 · Median 67 2026-06-11 · Median 67 2026-06-12 · Median 67 2026-06-13 · Median 67 2026-06-14 · Median 67 2026-06-15 · Median 67 2026-06-16 · Median 66 2026-06-17 · Median 66 2026-06-18 · Median 66 2026-06-19 · Median 66 2026-06-20 · Median 66 2026-06-21 · Median 66 2026-06-22 · Median 66 2026-06-23 · Median 66 2026-06-24 · Median 66 2026-06-25 · Median 63 2026-06-26 · Median 63 2026-06-28 · Median 63 2026-06-29 · Median 63 2026-06-30 · Median 63 2026-07-01 · Median 63 2026-07-03 · Median 59 2026-07-05 · Median 59 2026-07-07 · Median 59 2026-07-09 · Median 59 2026-07-11 · Median 59 2026-07-12 · Median 59 2026-07-14 · Median 59 2026-07-16 · Median 59 2026-07-21 · Median 59 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 64 2026-07-24 · Median 61 2026-08-20 · Median 61 2026-08-22 · Median 61 2026-08-23 · Median 60.7 2026-08-25 · Median 60.7 2026-08-27 · Median 58 2026-08-28 · Median 58 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-06-08 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1959
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2026-09-1459.5
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2026-08-2560.7
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 7.2

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.80

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 8.2%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G22
IP42.2
ERA6.75
WHIP1.78
K/910.5
BB/97.2
K-BB%8.2%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
545964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 40

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.1
Historical 80% error band16–66
MLB arrival in 3 years11%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball45Fringe
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001010.20000000.000.00
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels006.147017.110551461.917.36
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Iowa CubsAAA037.83187133.1342929431411.9511.07
2026South Bend CubsHigh-A002.453307.15222270.958.59
2026ACL CubsACL004.501102.03210122.009.00
20263 teams · TotalAll levels036.752211142.2423332634501.7810.55
2025Iowa CubsAAA024.663309.295526141.5513.03
2025Knoxville SmokiesAA201.931010042.02299117520.9311.14
2025South Bend CubsHigh-A121.7165026.113105113310.9910.59
20253 teams · TotalAll levels342.191918078.0442419436971.0311.19
2024South Bend CubsHigh-A314.5588031.2261716219381.4210.80
2024Myrtle Beach PelicansSingle-A022.1466021.0125505260.8111.14
2024ACL CubsACL0310.294407.049821272.299.00
20243 teams · TotalAll levels364.371818059.2423129436711.3110.71

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Chicago Cubs profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.