Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jacob Jenkins-Cowart

MIA · High-A · OF · Age 24

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score37.1#3,560 Overall
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor30Lower-end outcome
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Ceiling47High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Power.197 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact30.5% KContact risk
On-base foundation.282 OBPOn-base output is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid35Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection29.0
Projected Range11–47
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelHigh-A
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 38
45 39.5 34 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 39 2026-09-14 · Median 38.7 2026-09-15 · Median 39 2026-09-16 · Median 39 2026-09-17 · Median 39 2026-09-18 · Median 39 2026-09-19 · Median 39 2026-09-21 · Median 39 2026-09-22 · Median 39 2026-09-24 · Median 38 2026-09-25 · Median 38 2026-09-29 · Median 38 2026-09-30 · Median 38 2026-10-03 · Median 38 2026-10-04 · Median 38 2026-10-05 · Median 38 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 38

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0538
2026-10-0438
2026-10-0338
2026-09-3038
2026-09-2938
2026-09-2538
2026-09-2438
2026-09-2239
2026-09-2139
2026-09-1939
2026-09-1839
2026-09-1739
2026-09-1639
2026-09-1539
2026-09-1438.7
2026-09-0939
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0241