Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Irvin Gonzalez

CIN · ACL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score36.8#3,588 Overall
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Ceiling48High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.5 K/9Near expected range
Command4.9 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping47How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping52Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.0
Projected Range18–68
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 38 Latest recorded 38
42 38 34 2026-09-02 · Median 38 2026-09-03 · Median 38 2026-09-05 · Median 38 2026-09-06 · Median 38 2026-09-09 · Median 38 2026-09-14 · Median 38 2026-09-15 · Median 38 2026-09-16 · Median 38 2026-09-17 · Median 38 2026-09-18 · Median 38 2026-09-19 · Median 38 2026-09-21 · Median 38 2026-09-22 · Median 38 2026-09-24 · Median 38 2026-09-25 · Median 38 2026-09-29 · Median 38 2026-09-30 · Median 38 2026-10-03 · Median 38 2026-10-04 · Median 38 2026-10-05 · Median 38 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 38

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0538
2026-10-0438
2026-10-0338
2026-09-3038
2026-09-2938
2026-09-2538
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2026-09-2138
2026-09-1938
2026-09-1838
2026-09-1738
2026-09-1638
2026-09-1538
2026-09-1438
2026-09-0938
2026-09-0638
2026-09-0538
2026-09-0338
2026-09-0238