Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Will Koger

SD · High-A · P · Age 24

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score36.7#3,603 Overall
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Performance32Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor30Lower-end outcome
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Ceiling46High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
32Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command7.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.71 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid34Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.5
Projected Range14–63
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 38
43 37 31 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 39 2026-09-14 · Median 38.7 2026-09-15 · Median 39 2026-09-16 · Median 39 2026-09-17 · Median 38 2026-09-18 · Median 38 2026-09-19 · Median 38 2026-09-21 · Median 38 2026-09-22 · Median 38 2026-09-24 · Median 38 2026-09-25 · Median 38 2026-09-29 · Median 38 2026-09-30 · Median 38 2026-10-03 · Median 38 2026-10-04 · Median 38 2026-10-05 · Median 38 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 38

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0538
2026-10-0438
2026-10-0338
2026-09-3038
2026-09-2938
2026-09-2538
2026-09-2438
2026-09-2238
2026-09-2138
2026-09-1938
2026-09-1838
2026-09-1738
2026-09-1639
2026-09-1539
2026-09-1438.7
2026-09-0939
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0235