Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Sebastian Pena

SD · DSL · OF · Age 19

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score36.6#3,630 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance39Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling46High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
39Developing performance profile
Power.058 ISOLimited current game power
Contact22.5% KNear expected range
Approach21.9% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping54How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid43Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.3
Projected Range18–55
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelDSL
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 37
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 36.9 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
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2026-09-2537
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2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
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2026-09-1537
2026-09-1436.9
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237