Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Michael Sansone

BOS · AAA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws L
Prospect Score35.9#3,732 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
40Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.5 K/9Near expected range
Dominance10.5% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management1.9 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.8
Projected Range18–64
Arrival Probability19%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 35
39 31.5 24 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.5 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
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2026-09-2135
2026-09-1934
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2026-09-1434.5
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228