Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Julio Rodriguez

HOU · AAA · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#3,857Overall ranking
Baseline36Uncertain outcome
Trend-19.2Falling
Confidence57Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor30Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling46High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 36, between a 30 Floor and 46 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.6 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.58 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited28Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid45Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 36 Change 0.0
41 36.5 32 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-10-07 · Median 36 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0736
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
2026-09-2437
2026-09-2237
2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536