Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Nathan Hickey

BOS · AAA · 1B · Age 27

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score35.4#3,795 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Power.189 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact26.4% KNear expected range
Approach14.7% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.7
Projected Range22–56
Arrival Probability14%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAAA
Position1B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 35
40 35.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
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