Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Evan Shawver

COL · AAA · P

Bats R · Throws L
PB Rank#3,787Overall ranking
Baseline34Uncertain outcome
Trend-28.6Falling
Confidence61Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor31Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 34, between a 31 Floor and 41 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The narrow range reflects a more contained model outlook.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.2 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.4% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.46 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited25Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 34 Change -1.0
39 34.5 30 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-10-05 · Median 34 2026-10-07 · Median 34 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0734
2026-10-0534
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2235
2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
2026-09-1835
2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
2026-09-1535