Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Isaiah Lowe

SD · High-A · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score35.2#3,833 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance27Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling45High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
27Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.3 K/9Near expected range
Command6.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.79 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid34Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection33.1
Projected Range8–58
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Diego Padres
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 37
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 36.8 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
2026-09-2437
2026-09-2237
2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
2026-09-1637
2026-09-1537
2026-09-1436.8
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236