Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

River Hamilton

DET · Single-A · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#3,839Overall ranking
Baseline43Uncertain outcome
Trend+5.4Rising
Confidence37Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor29Lower-end outcome
Baseline43Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is rising.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 43, between a 29 Floor and 54 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (84) and limited model Confidence (36).

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreDeveloping37Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited84Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 43 Change -1.0
48 43.5 39 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 43 2026-09-18 · Median 43 2026-09-19 · Median 43 2026-09-21 · Median 43 2026-09-22 · Median 43 2026-09-24 · Median 43 2026-09-25 · Median 43 2026-09-29 · Median 43 2026-09-30 · Median 43 2026-10-03 · Median 43 2026-10-04 · Median 43 2026-10-05 · Median 43 2026-10-07 · Median 43 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 43

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0743
2026-10-0543
2026-10-0443
2026-10-0343
2026-09-3043
2026-09-2943
2026-09-2543
2026-09-2443
2026-09-2243
2026-09-2143
2026-09-1943
2026-09-1843
2026-09-1743
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544