Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Thomas Schultz

WSH · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score34.8#3,880 Overall
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.2 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.5 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management1.3 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh23Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.2
Projected Range21–70
Arrival Probability10%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 33
38 33.5 29 2026-09-02 · Median 34 2026-09-03 · Median 34 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.7 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 34 2026-09-25 · Median 34 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 33 2026-10-05 · Median 33 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 33

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0533
2026-10-0433
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
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2026-09-1433.7
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2026-09-0234