Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jarol Capellan

BAL · DSL · SS · Age 20

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score34.7#3,902 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance38Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling45High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
38Developing performance profile
Power.107 ISONear expected range
Contact11.4% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.364 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping48How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection34.6
Projected Range16–53
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelDSL
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 35
40 35.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 35.1 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
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2026-09-0935
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2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235