Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Luke Mann

ATH · AAA · 3B · Age 27

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score34.3#3,962 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Power.209 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact30.6% KContact risk
Approach9.6% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid36Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection31.3
Projected Range14–49
Arrival Probability22%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationAthletics
LevelAAA
Position3B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 35
50 40.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 36.4 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
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2026-09-1936
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2026-09-1436.4
2026-09-0936
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2026-09-0246