Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Brendan Summerhill

TB · High-A · OF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 22.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power not yet translating

The verified power grade is running ahead of current game power. ISO and slugging are the clearest checkpoints

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#825
Prospect Score58
Median56
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 45; game-power evidence sits near the 26th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.102

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+7.9 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 66
Game Power-15.8 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 26

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 56
60 49 38 2026-06-04 · Median 42 2026-06-05 · Median 42 2026-06-06 · Median 42 2026-06-07 · Median 42 2026-06-08 · Median 42 2026-06-09 · Median 42 2026-06-10 · Median 42 2026-06-11 · Median 42 2026-06-12 · Median 42 2026-06-13 · Median 42 2026-06-14 · Median 42 2026-06-15 · Median 42 2026-06-16 · Median 42 2026-06-17 · Median 42 2026-06-18 · Median 42 2026-06-19 · Median 42 2026-06-20 · Median 42 2026-06-21 · Median 42 2026-06-22 · Median 42 2026-06-23 · Median 42 2026-06-24 · Median 42 2026-06-25 · Median 42 2026-06-26 · Median 42 2026-06-28 · Median 42 2026-06-29 · Median 42 2026-06-30 · Median 42 2026-07-01 · Median 42 2026-07-03 · Median 44 2026-07-05 · Median 44 2026-07-07 · Median 44 2026-07-09 · Median 44 2026-07-11 · Median 44 2026-07-12 · Median 44 2026-07-14 · Median 44 2026-07-16 · Median 44 2026-07-21 · Median 44 2026-07-22 · Median 44 2026-07-23 · Median 44 2026-07-24 · Median 44 2026-07-25 · Median 44 2026-07-26 · Median 44 2026-07-27 · Median 44 2026-07-28 · Median 44 2026-07-29 · Median 44 2026-07-30 · Median 44 2026-07-31 · Median 44 2026-08-01 · Median 44 2026-08-03 · Median 44 2026-08-05 · Median 44 2026-08-07 · Median 44 2026-08-08 · Median 44 2026-08-09 · Median 44 2026-08-10 · Median 44 2026-08-11 · Median 44 2026-08-13 · Median 44 2026-08-14 · Median 43 2026-08-16 · Median 43 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.3 2026-08-25 · Median 50.3 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.7 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.7
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2550.3
2026-08-2350.3
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1643
2026-08-1443
2026-08-1344
2026-08-1144
2026-08-1044
2026-08-0944
2026-08-0844
2026-08-0744
2026-08-0544
2026-08-0344
2026-08-0144
2026-07-3144
2026-07-3044
2026-07-2944
2026-07-2844
2026-07-2744
2026-07-2644
2026-07-2544
2026-07-2444
2026-07-2344
2026-07-2244
2026-07-2144
2026-07-1644
2026-07-1444
2026-07-1244
2026-07-1144
2026-07-0944
2026-07-0744
2026-07-0544
2026-07-0344
2026-07-0142
2026-06-3042
2026-06-2942
2026-06-2842
2026-06-2642
2026-06-2542
2026-06-2442
2026-06-2342
2026-06-2242
2026-06-2142
2026-06-2042
2026-06-1942
2026-06-1842
2026-06-1742
2026-06-1642
2026-06-1542
2026-06-1442
2026-06-1342
2026-06-1242
2026-06-1142
2026-06-1042
2026-06-0942
2026-06-0842
2026-06-0742
2026-06-0642
2026-06-0542
2026-06-0442

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.102

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.353

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 14.6%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G85
PA377
AVG.251
OBP.351
SLG.353
OPS.704
HR5
SB24
BB%12.2%
K%14.6%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production45.1
Historical 80% error band30–61
MLB arrival in 3 years24%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power45Fringe
Speed icon
Speed55Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels942399900022104.231.286.231.516
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Bowling Green Hot RodsHigh-A156760121700194147.283.343.333.677
2026Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A652882453958103430393914.237.348.351.699
2026FCL RaysFCL52218362006323.333.409.444.854
20263 teams · TotalAll levels853773235481123545465524.251.351.353.704
2025Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A1042368122105655.333.429.444.873

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Tampa Bay Rays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.