Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Frainyer Chavez

TEX · AAA · 2B · Age 27

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score34.1#3,996 Overall
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Ceiling40High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.778 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact18.5% KStrong contact signal
Approach13.4% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh23Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.2
Projected Range22–57
Arrival Probability41%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelAAA
Position2B
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 33
38 27.5 17 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 21.8 2026-09-05 · Median 21.8 2026-09-06 · Median 21.8 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.6 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 34 2026-09-25 · Median 34 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 33 2026-10-05 · Median 33 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 33

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0533
2026-10-0433
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2534
2026-09-2434
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1433.6
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0621.8
2026-09-0521.8
2026-09-0321.8
2026-09-0230