Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Geremias Pena

ARI · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score34.0#4,011 Overall
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling52High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.5 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping44How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited74Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.8
Projected Range21–71
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 36
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 36.8 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2237
2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
2026-09-1637
2026-09-1537
2026-09-1436.8
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237