Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Wilfran Ortega

CHC · DSL · P · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score34.0#4,014 Overall
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Performance39Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline37Most likely outcome
Ceiling50High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
39Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.9 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.3 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping62Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.7
Projected Range24–74
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 37
41 36.5 32 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 37 2026-09-14 · Median 36.5 2026-09-15 · Median 37 2026-09-16 · Median 37 2026-09-17 · Median 37 2026-09-18 · Median 37 2026-09-19 · Median 37 2026-09-21 · Median 37 2026-09-22 · Median 37 2026-09-24 · Median 37 2026-09-25 · Median 37 2026-09-29 · Median 37 2026-09-30 · Median 37 2026-10-03 · Median 37 2026-10-04 · Median 37 2026-10-05 · Median 37 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 37

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0537
2026-10-0437
2026-10-0337
2026-09-3037
2026-09-2937
2026-09-2537
2026-09-2437
2026-09-2237
2026-09-2137
2026-09-1937
2026-09-1837
2026-09-1737
2026-09-1637
2026-09-1537
2026-09-1436.5
2026-09-0937
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237