Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Brett Gillis

HOU · AA · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#4,053Overall ranking
Baseline32Uncertain outcome
Trend-27.4Falling
Confidence59Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor29Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling39High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 32, between a 29 Floor and 39 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The narrow range reflects a more contained model outlook.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.5 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.9% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.16 WHIPNear expected range
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited24Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskHigh22Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 32 Change +1.0
36 31.5 27 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-10-07 · Median 32 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0732
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531