Prospect Baseline Profile
Joey Mancini
HOU · AAA · P
Bats L · Throws RPB Rank#4,142Overall ranking
Baseline34Uncertain outcome
Trend-26.1Falling
Confidence61Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor30Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Why He Stands Out
the derived projection is cooling.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 34, between a 30 Floor and 41 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.
What to Watch
Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.
Performance
Selected evidence39Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.4 K/9Near expected range
Command4.5 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.57 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited24Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid32Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 36
Latest recorded 34
Change -2.0
2026-10-07 · Median 34
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 34 |
| 2026-10-05 | 34 |
| 2026-10-04 | 34 |
| 2026-10-03 | 34 |
| 2026-09-30 | 34 |
| 2026-09-29 | 34 |
| 2026-09-25 | 34 |
| 2026-09-24 | 34 |
| 2026-09-22 | 34 |
| 2026-09-21 | 34 |
| 2026-09-19 | 35 |
| 2026-09-18 | 35 |
| 2026-09-17 | 35 |
| 2026-09-16 | 36 |
| 2026-09-15 | 36 |