Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Emanuel Mejia

COL · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score32.8#4,178 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance32Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor24Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling45High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
32Developing performance profile
Miss ability6.5 K/9Limited miss signal
Dominance5.4% K-BBNarrow strikeout-to-walk margin
Traffic prevention2.04 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid42Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.7
Projected Range17–67
Arrival Probability0%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 35
40 35.5 31 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 35.5 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
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2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
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2026-09-1735
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2026-09-1535
2026-09-1435.5
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0635
2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235