Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Ivan Sosa

KC · Single-A · SS

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#4,169Overall ranking
Baseline36Uncertain outcome
Trend-7.9Falling
Confidence56Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline36Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 36, between a 22 Floor and 44 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.

What to Watch

Track which new evidence narrows the outcome range.

Performance

Selected evidence
27Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.575 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact38.3% KContact risk
On-base foundation.206 OBPOn-base output is a concern
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited30Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid39Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 36 Change 0.0
40 36 32 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-10-05 · Median 36 2026-10-07 · Median 36 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0736
2026-10-0536
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536