Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Will Mabrey

ARI · AA · P · Age 26

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score31.9#4,296 Overall
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor24Lower-end outcome
Baseline33Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.0 K/9Near expected range
Command5.2 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping50How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid41Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.8
Projected Range18–68
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 33
39 32 25 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32.8 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 33 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 33 2026-10-05 · Median 33 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 33

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0533
2026-10-0433
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2533
2026-09-2433
2026-09-2233
2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1432.8
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235