Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Alessandro Duran

SF · DSL · C · Age 21

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score31.6#4,347 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance38Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling44High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
38Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.845 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact20.7% KNear expected range
Approach15.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping44How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping46Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection32.9
Projected Range15–51
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelDSL
PositionC
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
37 32.5 28 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 32.4 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
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2026-09-1432.4
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2026-09-0233