Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Carlos Ochoa

MIA · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score31.9#4,302 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance37Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling50High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
37Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.50 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping43How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping60Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.6
Projected Range25–74
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 35
39 34.5 30 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.6 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2235
2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
2026-09-1835
2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
2026-09-1535
2026-09-1434.6
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0634
2026-09-0534
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235