Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Matt Dunaway

SF · High-A · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score31.8#4,324 Overall
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Performance45Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
45Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.4 K/9Near expected range
Command2.8 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management1.3 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping53How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh23Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.0
Projected Range25–75
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 18 Latest recorded 31 Change +12.7
35 24 13 2026-09-02 · Median 18.3 2026-09-03 · Median 18.3 2026-09-05 · Median 17.9 2026-09-06 · Median 17.9 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.7 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-10-05 · Median 31 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0531
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1430.7
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0617.9
2026-09-0517.9
2026-09-0318.3
2026-09-0218.3