Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Mitchell Evans

DET · FCL · P

Bats R · Throws L
PB Rank#4,310Overall ranking
Baseline41Uncertain outcome
Trend+8.5Rising
Confidence31Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor25Lower-end outcome
Baseline41Most likely outcome
Ceiling53High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is rising.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 41, between a 25 Floor and 53 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.

What to Watch

Track elevated model Risk (87) and limited model Confidence (31).

Performance

Selected evidence
41Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited35Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited87Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelFCL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 41 Change 0.0
45 41 37 2026-09-15 · Median 41 2026-09-16 · Median 41 2026-09-17 · Median 41 2026-09-18 · Median 41 2026-09-19 · Median 41 2026-09-21 · Median 41 2026-09-22 · Median 41 2026-09-24 · Median 41 2026-09-25 · Median 41 2026-09-29 · Median 41 2026-09-30 · Median 41 2026-10-03 · Median 41 2026-10-04 · Median 41 2026-10-05 · Median 41 2026-10-07 · Median 41 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 41

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0741
2026-10-0541
2026-10-0441
2026-10-0341
2026-09-3041
2026-09-2941
2026-09-2541
2026-09-2441
2026-09-2241
2026-09-2141
2026-09-1941
2026-09-1841
2026-09-1741
2026-09-1641
2026-09-1541