Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

L.J. Waco

WSH · Single-A · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score31.5#4,369 Overall
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Performance36Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor24Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling49High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
36Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.9 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command7.3 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.43 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping41How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping49Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection47.4
Projected Range23–72
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 38 Latest recorded 35
42 35.5 29 2026-09-02 · Median 38 2026-09-03 · Median 38 2026-09-05 · Median 38 2026-09-06 · Median 38 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.8 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-10-05 · Median 35 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0535
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1433.8
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0638
2026-09-0538
2026-09-0338
2026-09-0238