Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jhonan Coba

DET · Single-A · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 96%
PB Rank#843
Prospect Score58
Median56
Performance46
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 40; command evidence sits near the 50th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 6.0

What could change the read

  • A 11.3 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+10.8 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 69
Command+16.7 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 50

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 56
60 47.5 35 2026-06-04 · Median 42 2026-06-05 · Median 42 2026-06-06 · Median 46 2026-06-07 · Median 46 2026-06-08 · Median 46 2026-06-09 · Median 46 2026-06-10 · Median 44 2026-06-11 · Median 44 2026-06-12 · Median 44 2026-06-13 · Median 44 2026-06-14 · Median 44 2026-06-15 · Median 44 2026-06-16 · Median 44 2026-06-17 · Median 44 2026-06-18 · Median 44 2026-06-19 · Median 44 2026-06-20 · Median 44 2026-06-21 · Median 44 2026-06-22 · Median 44 2026-06-23 · Median 44 2026-06-24 · Median 44 2026-06-25 · Median 41 2026-06-26 · Median 41 2026-06-28 · Median 41 2026-06-29 · Median 41 2026-06-30 · Median 41 2026-07-01 · Median 41 2026-07-03 · Median 43 2026-07-05 · Median 40 2026-07-07 · Median 40 2026-07-09 · Median 40 2026-07-11 · Median 40 2026-07-12 · Median 40 2026-07-14 · Median 40 2026-07-16 · Median 40 2026-07-21 · Median 39 2026-07-22 · Median 39 2026-07-23 · Median 42 2026-07-24 · Median 42 2026-07-25 · Median 42 2026-07-26 · Median 42 2026-07-27 · Median 42 2026-07-28 · Median 42 2026-07-29 · Median 42 2026-07-30 · Median 42 2026-07-31 · Median 42 2026-08-01 · Median 42 2026-08-03 · Median 42 2026-08-05 · Median 42 2026-08-07 · Median 42 2026-08-08 · Median 41 2026-08-09 · Median 41 2026-08-10 · Median 41 2026-08-11 · Median 41 2026-08-13 · Median 41 2026-08-14 · Median 41 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 41 2026-08-18 · Median 41 2026-08-19 · Median 41 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.5 2026-08-25 · Median 41.5 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.7 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 6.0

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.40

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 13.9%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G13
IP42.1
ERA5.31
WHIP1.42
K/911.3
BB/96.0
K-BB%13.9%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 46

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence85
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production45.1
Historical 80% error band20–70
MLB arrival in 3 years5%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001103.01000140.6712.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Lakeland Flying TigersSingle-A000.001103.01000140.6712.00
2026FCL TigersFCL145.721212039.1312625627491.4711.21
20262 teams · TotalAll levels145.311313042.1322625628531.4211.27
2025DSL Tigers 2DSL315.14109142.0432524215501.3810.71
2024DSL Tigers 1DSL1210.22100012.1121614111141.8610.22

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Detroit Tigers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.