Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Sebastian Rivas

NYY · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score29.8#4,605 Overall
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Performance46Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline38Most likely outcome
Ceiling56High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
46Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited30How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited94Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 37 Latest recorded 38
43 38 33 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 38 2026-09-14 · Median 38.1 2026-09-15 · Median 38 2026-09-16 · Median 38 2026-09-17 · Median 38 2026-09-18 · Median 38 2026-09-19 · Median 38 2026-09-21 · Median 38 2026-09-22 · Median 38 2026-09-24 · Median 38 2026-09-25 · Median 38 2026-09-29 · Median 38 2026-09-30 · Median 38 2026-10-03 · Median 38 2026-10-04 · Median 38 2026-10-05 · Median 38 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 38

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0538
2026-10-0438
2026-10-0338
2026-09-3038
2026-09-2938
2026-09-2538
2026-09-2438
2026-09-2238
2026-09-2138
2026-09-1938
2026-09-1838
2026-09-1738
2026-09-1638
2026-09-1538
2026-09-1438.1
2026-09-0938
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237