Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Spencer Packard

SEA · AAA · LF · Age 29

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score30.1#4,565 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling38High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.828 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact14.2% KStrong contact signal
Approach15.1% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid29Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.1
Projected Range27–61
Arrival Probability13%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelAAA
PositionLF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 29
33 28 23 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27.9 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 28 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2928
2026-09-2528
2026-09-2428
2026-09-2228
2026-09-2128
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1427.9
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229