
Prospect Baseline Profile
Austin Roberts
TEX · AAA · P
Bats R · Throws RPB Rank#4,560Overall ranking
Baseline31Uncertain outcome
Trend-30.6Falling
Confidence60Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor26Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleWhy He Stands Out
the derived projection is cooling.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 31, between a 26 Floor and 43 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.
What to Watch
Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.
Performance
Selected evidence48Developing performance profile
Miss ability13.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.6 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited21Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid40Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 29
Latest recorded 31
Change +2.0
2026-10-07 · Median 31
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 31 |
| 2026-10-05 | 31 |
| 2026-10-04 | 31 |
| 2026-10-03 | 31 |
| 2026-09-30 | 31 |
| 2026-09-29 | 31 |
| 2026-09-25 | 31 |
| 2026-09-24 | 31 |
| 2026-09-22 | 31 |
| 2026-09-21 | 31 |
| 2026-09-19 | 29 |
| 2026-09-18 | 29 |
| 2026-09-17 | 29 |
| 2026-09-16 | 29 |
| 2026-09-15 | 29 |