Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 7, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Austin Roberts

TEX · AAA · P

Bats R · Throws R
PB Rank#4,560Overall ranking
Baseline31Uncertain outcome
Trend-30.6Falling
Confidence60Strength of available evidence

Projected Outcome

Fixed 20–100 scale
Floor26Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Why He Stands Out

the derived projection is cooling.

What the Model Sees

Baseline is 31, between a 26 Floor and 43 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.

Performance

Selected evidence
48Developing performance profile
Miss ability13.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.6 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited21Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid40Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 31 Change +2.0
35 30 25 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-10-05 · Median 31 2026-10-07 · Median 31 2026-09-15 2026-10-07

2026-10-07 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0731
2026-10-0531
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529