Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Rafi Vazquez

NYM · High-A · P · Age 29

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score29.3#4,686 Overall
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Ceiling49High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command1.7 BB/9Above-average command
Contact management0.4 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping44How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping51Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection57.4
Projected Range33–82
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 30
35 28.5 22 2026-09-02 · Median 26 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.2 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-10-05 · Median 30 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0530
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1530
2026-09-1430.2
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0226