Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jake Knapp

CHC · AA · P · Age 26

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score29.3#4,684 Overall
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Performance34Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling39High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
34Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.7 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid33Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.2
Projected Range18–67
Arrival Probability4%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationChicago Cubs
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 31
40 33 26 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 31.8 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-10-05 · Median 31 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0531
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1431.8
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0232