Prospect Baseline Profile
Jesus Carrasco
WSH · DSL · P
Bats R · Throws RPB Rank#4,678Overall ranking
Baseline31Uncertain outcome
Trend-5.8Falling
Confidence49Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling40High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Why He Stands Out
the derived projection is cooling.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 31, between a 22 Floor and 40 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.
What to Watch
Track whether the recent projection decline stabilizes.
Performance
Selected evidence29Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.1 K/9Near expected range
Dominance8.9% K-BBNarrow strikeout-to-walk margin
Traffic prevention1.53 WHIPElevated traffic
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited28Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskSolid38Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 31
Latest recorded 31
Change 0.0
2026-10-07 · Median 31
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 31 |
| 2026-10-05 | 31 |
| 2026-10-04 | 31 |
| 2026-10-03 | 31 |
| 2026-09-30 | 31 |
| 2026-09-29 | 31 |
| 2026-09-25 | 31 |
| 2026-09-24 | 31 |
| 2026-09-22 | 31 |
| 2026-09-21 | 31 |
| 2026-09-19 | 31 |
| 2026-09-18 | 31 |
| 2026-09-17 | 31 |
| 2026-09-16 | 31 |
| 2026-09-15 | 31 |