Prospect Baseline Profile
Fabian Bonilla
BOS · FCL · OF
Bats R · Throws RPB Rank#4,726Overall ranking
Baseline35Uncertain outcome
Trend+15.9Rising
Confidence33Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline35Most likely outcome
Ceiling46High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Why He Stands Out
the derived projection is rising.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 35, between a 20 Floor and 46 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.
What to Watch
Track elevated model Risk (79) and limited model Confidence (32).
Performance
Selected evidence41Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile
No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited34Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited79Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelFCL
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 35
Latest recorded 35
Change 0.0
2026-10-07 · Median 35
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 35 |
| 2026-10-05 | 35 |
| 2026-10-04 | 35 |
| 2026-10-03 | 35 |
| 2026-09-30 | 35 |
| 2026-09-29 | 35 |
| 2026-09-25 | 35 |
| 2026-09-24 | 35 |
| 2026-09-22 | 35 |
| 2026-09-21 | 35 |
| 2026-09-19 | 35 |
| 2026-09-18 | 35 |
| 2026-09-17 | 35 |
| 2026-09-16 | 35 |
| 2026-09-15 | 35 |