Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Justin Johnson

KC · AA · 2B · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score28.8#4,767 Overall
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Performance36Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor23Lower-end outcome
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
36Developing performance profile
Power.180 ISONear expected range
Contact24.3% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.294 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid29Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection33.3
Projected Range16–51
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelAA
Position2B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 30
35 30 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.5 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-10-05 · Median 30 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0530
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2026-09-1430.5
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