Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Kyle Luckham

WSH · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score28.7#4,780 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance39Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor22Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling38High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
39Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.8 K/9Near expected range
Dominance11.8% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Traffic prevention1.58 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid32Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.1
Projected Range19–65
Arrival Probability16%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 29
34 29.5 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.4 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
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2026-09-2129
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2026-09-1429.4
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229