Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Yolvin Mesa

TB · DSL · P · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score28.7#4,781 Overall
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Performance33Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline30Most likely outcome
Ceiling41High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
33Developing performance profile
Miss ability8.7 K/9Near expected range
Command4.2 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.6 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping45How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping46Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.8
Projected Range21–71
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 30
35 30.5 26 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.6 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-10-05 · Median 30 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0530
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2026-09-1430.6
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