Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Kyle DeGroat

KC · ACL · P · Age 21

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score28.6#4,806 Overall
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Performance28Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline32Most likely outcome
Ceiling43High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
28Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command8.7 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.03 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping48How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping56Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection39.0
Projected Range14–64
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelACL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
37 32.5 28 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 32.7 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-10-05 · Median 32 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0532
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
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2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1432.7
2026-09-0933
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233