Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Misael Almanzar

LAA · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,892
Score28.0
Baseline32
Signal-2.1
Trend-1.1
Floor20
Baseline32
Ceiling44
Confidence41 Risk75 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Misael Almanzar

LAA · DSL · P

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 19.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,892
Prospect Score28.0
Median32
Performance Signal-2.1
Trend-1.1

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.1
203244
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 32
39 33.5 28 2026-08-16 · Median 35 2026-08-17 · Median 32 2026-08-18 · Median 32 2026-08-19 · Median 32 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 32.3 2026-08-25 · Median 32.3 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 32.7 2026-09-15 · Median 33 2026-09-16 · Median 33 2026-09-17 · Median 33 2026-09-18 · Median 33 2026-09-19 · Median 33 2026-09-21 · Median 33 2026-09-22 · Median 33 2026-09-24 · Median 33 2026-09-25 · Median 33 2026-09-29 · Median 33 2026-09-30 · Median 33 2026-10-03 · Median 33 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0333
2026-09-3033
2026-09-2933
2026-09-2533
2026-09-2433
2026-09-2233
2026-09-2133
2026-09-1933
2026-09-1833
2026-09-1733
2026-09-1633
2026-09-1533
2026-09-1432.7
2026-09-0933
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2532.3
2026-08-2332.3
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032
2026-08-1932
2026-08-1832
2026-08-1732
2026-08-1635

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 41
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 75
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.1
203244
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.1

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 75
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence41
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.3
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.