Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Cristhian Espinosa

TOR · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,883
Score28.0
Baseline29
Signal-3.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline29
Ceiling41
Confidence36 Risk55 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Cristhian Espinosa

TOR · DSL · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 23.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,883
Prospect Score28.0
Median29
Performance Signal-3.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202941
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 29
34 28 22 2026-07-16 · Median 26 2026-07-21 · Median 28 2026-07-22 · Median 28 2026-07-23 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 28.3 2026-08-25 · Median 28.3 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.1 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-07-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1429.1
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2528.3
2026-08-2328.3
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-07-2328
2026-07-2228
2026-07-2128
2026-07-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 36
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202941
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 55
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence36
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.