Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Isaac Stebens

BOS · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,995
Score27.4
Baseline32
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline32
Ceiling43
Confidence32 Risk77 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Isaac Stebens

BOS · High-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 24.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,995
Prospect Score27.4
Median32
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 32
36 31.5 27 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.9 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.9
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 77
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 77
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence32
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.