Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Andre Avila

NYY · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

Rank#5,084
Score26.8
Baseline31
Signal-7.8
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline31
Ceiling47
Confidence43 Risk68 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Andre Avila

NYY · DSL · P

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 21.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

PB Rank#5,084
Prospect Score26.8
Median31
Performance Signal-7.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203147
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 31 Latest recorded 31
35 30.5 26 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 31 2026-08-22 · Median 31 2026-08-23 · Median 31 2026-08-25 · Median 31 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.7 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1430.7
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2531
2026-08-2331
2026-08-2231
2026-08-2031
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
2026-08-1631

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 43
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 68
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203147
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 68
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence43
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.4
Projected range24–73
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.