Prospect Baseline Profile
Alfredo Zarraga
TB · AA · P
Bats R · Throws RPB Rank#5,082Overall ranking
Baseline31Uncertain outcome
Trend-10.8Falling
Confidence35Strength of available evidence
Projected Outcome
Fixed 20–100 scaleFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline31Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Why He Stands Out
the derived projection is cooling.
What the Model Sees
Baseline is 31, between a 20 Floor and 42 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.
What to Watch
Track elevated model Risk (80) and limited model Confidence (35).
Performance
Selected evidence46Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile
No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.
Model Detail
Prospect ScoreLimited24Composite score used to sort the current board.
RiskLimited80Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 32
Latest recorded 31
Change -1.0
2026-10-07 · Median 31
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 31 |
| 2026-10-05 | 31 |
| 2026-10-04 | 31 |
| 2026-10-03 | 31 |
| 2026-09-30 | 31 |
| 2026-09-29 | 31 |
| 2026-09-25 | 31 |
| 2026-09-24 | 31 |
| 2026-09-22 | 32 |
| 2026-09-21 | 32 |
| 2026-09-19 | 32 |
| 2026-09-18 | 32 |
| 2026-09-17 | 32 |
| 2026-09-16 | 32 |
| 2026-09-15 | 32 |